APERC Annual Conference

APERC Annual Conference 2019 15 and 16 May 2019, Grand Prince Hotel New Takanawa, Japan

Conference Summary

Annual Conference 2019 Summary

Opening Session

Opening Remarks Dr. Kazutomo Irie, President, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)
Overview and Updates on the APEC Energy Outlook 7th and 8th Editions Mr. James Kendell, Senior Vice President, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)
Outlook 7th Edition Results and Vision for the 8th Edition Mr. David Wogan, Assistant Vice President, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)

Session 1: Achieving the APEC Renewables Doubling Goal

APEC has set an aspirational goal of doubling the share of modern renewables in the energy system by 2030. Analysis presented in the 7th Edition Outlook suggests that APEC is not currently on track to achieve this goal and additional efforts are required. This session will begin with an overview of progress made to date followed by a discussion of opportunities to support renewables deployment.
S1 Moderator Dr. Ross Lambie, Chief Economist, Department of the Environment and Energy, Australia
S1-0 Progress Toward Achieving the APEC Renewables Doubling Goal Mr. Thomas Willcock, Researcher, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)
S1-1 Accelerating Renewables Deployment in National Energy Systems Dr. Ricardo Gorini, Senior Programme Officer, Remap, International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)
S1-2 Renewable Energy in China Prof. Zhou Dadi, former Director General Emeritus and Senior Researcher, Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission of China
S1-3 Mainstreaming Renewables in Asia and the Pacific through SDG7 Mr. Michael Williamson, Chief of Section, Energy Division, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific
S1-4 Australian Experience with Renewable Generation: Some Emerging Lessons Mr. Douglas Cooke, Principal, Majura Energy

Session 2: Net-zero Emissions Pathways

In the 7th Edition of the Outlook, the 2-Degrees Celsius (2DC) scenario presented a pathway for CO2 reductions in APEC’s energy sector. However, this scenario does not achieve net-zero emissions by mid-century in line with Article 4 of the Paris Agreement. This session will consider what efforts are needed to achieve net-zero emissions for the energy sector by mid-century. Focus will be placed on the transportation sector, which is poised to become the largest energy consuming sector in APEC by mid-century according to projections in the 7th Edition of the Outlook.
S2 Moderator Prof. Nikolai Voropai, Scientific Advisor, Melentiev Energy Systems Institute, Russia
S2-0 Overview of the 7th Edition 2DC Scenario Pathway Mr. David Wogan, Assistant Vice President, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)
S2-1 Smart Mobility & Energy Dr. Seongkyun Cho, Lead Shepherd, APEC Transportation Working Group (TPTWG)
S2-2 Recent Trends and Future Pathways in the Transportation Sector Energy Transition Prof. Dr. Tech. Ir. Danang Parikesit, Head of Indonesia Toll Road Authority, Ministry of Public Works and Housing, Republic of Indonesia
S2-3 Net-zero Emissions Pathways in Japan Assessed by AIM/Enduse Dr. Toshihiko Masui, Head of Center for Social and Environmental Systems, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan
S2-4 Net-zero Emissions Pathways: Long-term Transport Infrastructure Development Prof. Colin Duffield, Professor of Engineering Project Management, Department of Infrastructure Engineering, The University of Melbourne

Session 3: Natural Gas Trade in APEC: Trends, Expectations, and Risks

The APEC region accounts for more than half of global gas consumption. At the same time, APEC economies include three out of the four main natural gas producers (Canada, Russia and the United States), four of the top global natural gas exporters (Australia, Canada, Russia and the United States), and the top three LNG importers (Japan, China, and Korea). The objective of this session is to discuss the opportunities and risks of natural gas production, consumption, and trade in APEC in the context of increasingly integrated global gas markets.
S3 Moderator Dr. Sanjayan K V Velautham, Chief Executive Officer, Sustainable Energy Development Authority, Malaysia
S3-0 Outlook for Natural Gas Trade in APEC Mr. Diego Rivera Rivota, Researcher, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)
S3-1 Global and China Gas Market Update Ms. Gloria Zhou, Director of Strategy and Business, BP China
S3-2 China Gas Market Briefing Mr. Fareed Mohamedi, Managing Director, SIA-Energy International
S3-3 Mexico’s Natural Gas Story Ms. Rosanety Barrios, Former Head of the Industrial Transformation Unit, Mexico Ministry of Energy
Closing Remarks for Day 1 of the APERC Annual Conference Dr. Kazutomo Irie, President, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)

Session 4: Scenarios and analyses to capture emerging energy issues in APEC

The objective of this session is to gather input for scenario design and modelling approaches as APERC begins work on the next Outlook.
S4 Moderator Dr. Nan Zhou, Group Leader, China Energy Group, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, US
S4-1 Future Development of Nuclear Power in APEC Economies Mr. William D. Magwood IV, Director-General, OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA)
S4-2 Energy Modeling for Sustainable Development Scenarios Ms. Laura Cozzi, Chief Energy Modeler, International Energy Agency (IEA)
S4-3 Innovations in Energy Systems Modeling Dr. David Daniels, Chief Energy Modeler, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
S4-4 Lessons from EMF 35 JMIP for APERC Modeling Research Prof. Masahiro Sugiyama, Associate Professor, Institute for Future Initiatives, The University of Tokyo

Concluding Session:

In this final session, the speakers will discuss how to increase the socialization of the Outlook throughout APEC. As a part of this discussion, speakers will comment on possible aspects to examine in the scenarios that are under development for the 8th Edition of the Outlook.
S5-1 Increasing the visibility of the Outlook throughout APEC Dr. Jyuung-Shiauu Chern, APEC EWG LS
S5-2 Possible Aspects to Examine in the 8th Edition Scenarios Prof. Peter Hartley, Professor of Economics/Baker Institute, Rice University, US
Closing Remarks Dr. Kazutomo Irie, President, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)